Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.007543 0.008449 0.009441 0.010608 0.011950 0.013448 0.015255
2025-04-20 0.006052 0.007263 0.008699 0.010543 0.012866 0.015719 0.019530
2025-04-27 0.005400 0.006785 0.008522 0.010886 0.014064 0.018248 0.024277
2025-05-04 0.004813 0.006267 0.008169 0.010884 0.014728 0.020085 0.028311
2025-05-11 0.004392 0.005895 0.007934 0.010966 0.015461 0.022050 0.032776
2025-05-18 0.003994 0.005499 0.007607 0.010851 0.015858 0.023534 0.036695
2025-05-25 0.003725 0.005251 0.007453 0.010954 0.016568 0.025554 0.041768
2025-06-01 0.003445 0.004958 0.007196 0.010861 0.016940 0.027055 0.046178
2025-06-08 0.003137 0.004594 0.006795 0.010490 0.016799 0.027659 0.049047
2025-06-15 0.002959 0.004411 0.006656 0.010522 0.017331 0.029480 0.054491
2025-06-22 0.002875 0.004367 0.006728 0.010908 0.018515 0.032629 0.063128
2025-06-29 0.002670 0.004112 0.006436 0.010637 0.018474 0.033456 0.067079
2025-07-06 0.002471 0.003863 0.006145 0.010362 0.018441 0.034385 0.071655
2025-07-13 0.002330 0.003699 0.005989 0.010319 0.018856 0.036302 0.078963
2025-07-20 0.002264 0.003656 0.006036 0.010652 0.020052 0.040031 0.091481
2025-07-27 0.002152 0.003525 0.005914 0.010650 0.020558 0.042338 0.100995
2025-08-03 0.002062 0.003425 0.005839 0.010730 0.021244 0.045161 0.112608
2025-08-10 0.001954 0.003284 0.005677 0.010618 0.021496 0.046998 0.121943
2025-08-17 0.001882 0.003204 0.005623 0.010718 0.022233 0.050138 0.135995
2025-08-24 0.001792 0.003085 0.005484 0.010628 0.022519 0.052188 0.147284
2025-08-31 0.001677 0.002912 0.005229 0.010266 0.022121 0.052393 0.152657
2025-09-07 0.001615 0.002836 0.005157 0.010297 0.022675 0.055252 0.167917
2025-09-14 0.001594 0.002836 0.005239 0.010674 0.024134 0.060896 0.195058